Rain or Shine? Optimal Utility Pricing under Different Weather Patterns
As climate change amplifies more volatile weather patterns, water utilities face increasing difficulty in simultaneously ensuring revenue feasibility, promoting water conservation, and protecting low-income consumers. This paper tests and concludes that price alone cannot achieve these competing policy goals under different weather patterns.
Using granular household data from Austin, TX, and a structural demand model enhanced with satellite imagery-derived vegetation index, I find that because high-water users exist across all income levels, traditional tiered pricing does not work as intended.
When high-demand conditions make conservation measures necessary, low-income families experience an average welfare loss of $74 per month. A program encouraging households to convert 30% of their lawns to water-saving landscapes could generate approximately $72.07 per month in welfare for the lowest-income families, nearly offsetting the financial burden imposed by conservation policies during droughts.