Climate change is increasing weather variability, leading to greater fluctuations in water demand and more unstable revenues for utility companies. Utilities must pre-set a fixed Increasing Block Pricing (IBP) structure to navigate trade-offs between cost recovery, conservation, and equity—tensions that are intensified by growing weather variance. This paper evaluates how changes in precipitation variability affect a utility’s Ramsey pricing problem and assesses the associated welfare implications. Using panel data on monthly household water utility transactions from Austin, TX (2018–2019), I estimate demand elasticity through a structural discrete-continuous choice (DCC) model that accounts for nonlinear budget constraints. In counterfactual simulations, I solve the Ramsey pricing problem under varying levels of precipitation variance. Results show that under high precipitation variance, if the utility prioritizes progressive distributional goals, the optimal pricing structure not only enhances equity but also reduces revenue risk. This occurs because de-emphasizing revenue contributions from high-income households introduces concavity into the utility’s revenue preference function—effectively embedding risk aversion. Conversely, under low precipitation variance, pursuing progressive goals flattens the utility’s revenue preference, making it more risk-neutral.